Annual house price growth climbs to 3.2% says Halifax

The latest analysis of UK house prices from Halifax have shown that, during Q1, prices were 3.2% higher than in the same three months of 2018.

Related topics:  Property
Warren Lewis
5th April 2019
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According to the lender, this is above the annual growth of 2.8% recorded in the three months to February. When measured quarterly, prices saw a 1.6% rise in Q1 compared to Q4 2018. House prices fell by 1.6% on a monthly basis, rebalancing the 5.9% rise seen in February.

Russell Galley, managing director at Halifax, said: “The average UK house price is now £233,181 following a 1.6% monthly fall in March. This reduction partly corrects the significant growth seen last month and again demonstrates the risk in focusing too heavily on short-term, volatile measures. Industry-wide figures show that the number of mortgages being approved remains around 40% below pre-financial crisis levels, and we know that lower levels of activity can lead to bigger price movements.

The more stable measure of annual house price growth rose slightly to 3.2% and is still within our expectation for the year. The need to build up a deposit before getting a mortgage is still a challenge for many looking to buy a property. However, the combined effect of fewer houses for sale and fewer people looking to buy continues to support prices in the long-term.

These conflicting challenges, when combined with the ongoing uncertainty around Brexit, have had an impact across the country but most notably in London, meaning that we continue to expect subdued price growth for the time being.”

As ever, the property industry was quick to react. Here's what they're saying.

Tomer Aboody, director of property lender MT Finance, says: "March has been dominated by Brexit so the monthly fall in property prices comes as no surprise. For the past couple of years March was flagged up as the date when we would get Brexit and people have been too busy watching the political shenanigans on television to go out and view houses.

‘The Brexit saga is such a debacle and until it gets sorted, one way or another, few people are going to do anything. There are fewer enquiries out there and fewer people want to sell. Less stock means values will go down - those selling are those who have to sell and may therefore take a lower price. Those who are brave enough to buy believe nothing is going to change in the future so they are going to take advantage of the uncertainty."

Jeremy Leaf, north London estate agent and a former RICS residential chairman, says: "Yet another set of figures demonstrating better than expected resilience of the UK housing market but also the dangers of reading too much into one month’s figures. On the ground, we are seeing more buying activity in the buildup to the traditionally busier Spring market but it is patchy, encouraging in some areas, disappointing in others, even sometimes very close to one another.

On the other hand, many sellers are still cautious, awaiting a small sign at least that their Brexit nightmare will soon be over and they will have more confidence about taking on additional debt."

Alastair McKee, managing Director of One77 Mortgages, commented: “Yet more erratic monthly price movement is to be expected given the unpredictability of the wider political landscape and the extreme spike in prices seen the previous month.

Much like our current position with the EU, the UK market isn’t quite sure whether it’s coming or going at the moment and this has been reflected in short-term price measures.

Although the number of mortgage approvals remains below pre-financial crisis levels, this isn’t necessarily a bad thing as the ease of obtaining a mortgage and the relaxed approach to providing them was part of the problem in the first place.

While we continue to see a consistent level of demand for mortgage products and the cost of borrowing remains low, the current market has been built on a more stringent lending foundation and as a result, we will continue to see buyer demand fuel positive house price growth in the long-term.”

Danny Belton, Legal & General Mortgage Club, had this to say: “The stable level of house price growth is creating a favourable environment for first-time buyers. This is being supported by increased innovation and competition in the mortgage market, allowing borrowers to choose from a wide range of affordable products.

Government schemes also play a vital role, helping borrowers who are struggling to raise a deposit step onto the property ladder. For those unsure how to make their homeownership dream a reality, speaking with an independent mortgage adviser is a great place to start. Whether looking for that first, next, or last home, advisers can make a valuable difference to a borrower’s journey.”

Jeff Knight, Marketing Director for Foundation Home Loans commented: “While a lack of clarity over Brexit decisions may be a cause for concern for some, in general the market is proving its resilience with activity ticking over – even if at a slower pace than we usually see at this time of year. First-time buyers and those keen for discounted prices in their next move would be wise to snap up purchases sooner rather than later. That said, a dreary supply of properties on both the rental and purchasing side not only continues to fall short of demand but will further inflate prices making affordability even trickier.”

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