Property

House price growth continues to be fuelled by low stock

Property Reporter
|
17th June 2022
House prices 717

The UK property market continues to barrel along, seemingly indestructible as it bats away various economic challenges and foreign conflicts, with soaring demand even increasing in London and the North East.

According to the latest market analysis from Home.co.uk, stock levels remain very low by historic standards and consequently, prices continue to rise rapidly across all regions. The supply of new instructions entering the market nudged up slightly this month as more potential vendors are tempted by record prices.

It is becoming clear that the Bank of England's paltry efforts to tame inflation are not working, with the MPC forced to raise interest rates for the fifth consecutive month to a 13-year high of 1.25%. Even by their own preferred measure (CPI), inflation is now 4.5 times their target rate and climbing. Of course, the unprecedentedly large and widening spread between mortgage interest rates and inflation specifically incentivises highly leveraged property purchases.

Home's data shows that house prices rose significantly in every English region, Wales and Scotland during the last month. Marketing times remain very low by any historic precedent. Higher prices appear to pose no significant obstacle, as one should expect during a period of rapid monetary inflation. Such is the vim and vigour of the market that even the North East, formerly overwhelmed with stock and stagnating prices, has now entered a boom phase. Demand has decimated the stock for sale over the last year and prices are rising rapidly.

Relative scarcity persists across all regions with the average stock total dropping around 11% year-on-year. The largest falls in unsold sales stock are found in the North East (19.0%) and London (18.7%), and these trends strongly suggest further strong price growth going forward.

However, the first real indications of rising supply are evident in the East of England and East Midlands where the rate of new instructions rose by 10% and 12% respectively compared to May 2021. Overall, supply across the UK is up 5% year-on-year.

Rents are up year-on-year across all regions and continue their upwards spiral in the capital. High demand and falling supply of available properties to let have pushed up annualised rental growth to an alarming 27.6%. The mix-adjusted average monthly rent in the capital region is now 25% higher than in pre-COVID June 2019.

Asking rent growth across the UK currently stands at 18.8% year-on-year.

Central London rents continue to set new records as supply plummets. Aside from the City (+51%), the greatest rises in asking rents over the last twelve months are now in Lambeth (+44%) and Hackney (+43%).

The annualised mix-adjusted average asking price growth across England and Wales is now at +6.5%; in June 2021, the annualised rate of increase of home prices was 9.0%.

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