Landlord confidence crashes to all time low

Landlord confidence crashes to all time low

According to the CEO of the NLA, Landlords' confidence in the buy to let sector has collapsed to an all-time low and is now 'worse than levels witnessed during the financial crash'.

Richard Lambert, Chief Executive Officer of the National Landlords Association (NLA), will tell delegates at the Building Societies Association’s (BSA) annual meet-up for mortgage professionals that confidence in landlords’ business expectations has tumbled by more than a third over the past year – down from 67% to an all-time low of 43%.

The current level of confidence in the BTL sector is now 5% lower than levels witnessed after the financial crash in 2007.

Mr Lambert will outline how the actions taken by the Chancellor in last year’s Summer Budget and Autumn Statements has led the NLA to reverse its previous prediction of the continued growth of the private rented sector (PRS) by another million more households over the next five years.

It now forecasts that, if landlords follow through on their intentions, there will be a dramatic sell-off of 500,000 properties in the next 12 months, followed by another 100,000 sold each year to 2021.  The net effect will be that the PRS be smaller by up to 136,000 properties.


He will present findings from the latest NLA Quarterly Landlord Panel survey, which will show:

• The proportion of landlords looking to sell in next 12 months has more than doubled since July 2015 (up from 7% to 19%).

• Over the next few years:

28% of landlords don’t plan purchase any more properties
10% plan to reduce their portfolio
5% plan to sell up completely.

Mr Lambert said: “Two speeches from the Chancellor in 2015 have led to a crisis in confidence greater than when all but a few BTL products were immediately withdrawn from the market following the 2007 financial crash. Up to half a million properties could come onto the market as a result of the Summer Budget and Autumn Statement, which the Chancellor will no doubt deem a success.

But there is no guarantee that these will be the one or two-bedroom flats or small houses that will appeal to first time buyers, especially as landlords are more likely to offload less desirable stock in less desirable areas.

We’ve always said that Mr Osborne is blinded to the impact of his decisions by his commitment to homeownership.  He may have intended to focus on the small-scale part-time investor, but it’s the larger and more professional landlords who will be hit worst by cuts to mortgage tax relief and increases to stamp duty, and who appear most likely to leave the sector.

What happens to the people these landlords house if they still can’t buy and there are fewer and fewer properties available to rent?”

Join our mailing list:

Leave a comment



Our Next Event

Buy-to-Let Roadshow April 2017

Buy-to-Let Roadshow April 2017

Crewe - 18/04/2017

Northampton - 19/04/2017

Essex - 20/04/2017

Brighton - 21/04/2017

Register now

Latest Comments

MBM Homelets
MBM Homelets 23 Mar 2017

Although this is a very positive step, there is little or no guarantee of the standard of workmanship employed by the tenants. We have had experience of a professionally decorated property being ' painted'...

view article
ajay
ajay 21 Mar 2017

How is the "robust evidence" looking now?

view article
NathanG
NathanG 20 Mar 2017

I've been watching the series so far and am completely baffled by the cases that were presented. Though, I don't think that we can protect ourselves from every scam possible - it will just make the scammers...

view article
Landlady14
Landlady14 01 Mar 2017

You would think so Niraj Shah! My experience only proves that there are varying qualitiers of professional in all aspects of property letting. None of the ones I have dealt with, from letting agents to...

view article
Mark
Mark 01 Mar 2017

Thanks for this article. Hopefully one day everybody's lifestyle will be eco-sustainable.

view article
Ben Taylor
Ben Taylor 28 Feb 2017

I was convinced that London was the most expensive!

view article
Alan Read
Alan Read 28 Feb 2017

Australia are leading the way in this I think. The trouble with Britain is we don't get enough sun to make use of solar power.

view article
James Powell
James Powell 27 Feb 2017

This is a very good news.

view article
DanHumphreys
DanHumphreys 27 Feb 2017

It sounds like a good idea. Anything to help the younger generation get a foothold.

view article
Matt
Matt 20 Feb 2017

Is this fake news?

view article
Matthew Hollywood
Matthew Hollywood 07 Feb 2017

Matthew Hollywood - Director Mishon Mackay Land & New Homes - Brighton The shortage of New Homes is in part effected by the lack of land sales. Land sales are held back because there is a disparity between...

view article
CommercialTrust
CommercialTrust 30 Jan 2017

Hi Graham, Would be interesting to see the above figure calculated against an investment via a Lt Company /SPV structure and if the investor found themselves pushed in to the higher tax bracket. Mortgage...

view article

Related stories

More articles from Landlords

Buy-to-Let Roadshow
April 2017

18th-21st April

4 days
7 specialists
4 locations
Free to attend

Click here to register now