Is this the 'Calm before the buy-to-let storm'?

Is this the 'Calm before the buy-to-let storm'?

According to a new report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents, a seasonal lull kicked in as the supply of available rental properties dropped, alongside falling demand.

ARLA agents registered an average of 29 prospective new tenants last month, down from 34 in November – a decrease of 15 per cent. Supply also decreased marginally in December, with an average of 182 properties managed per branch, down from 189 in November. Those looking for rental properties in the capital continue to struggle, with an average of just 108 properties managed per branch, 43 per cent less than the national average.

Cost of renting

Alongside supply and demand, the number of tenants seeing rent hikes also dropped in December, with only two in ten (18 per cent) ARLA letting agents reporting a growth in rent – a drop of five percentage points from November and the lowest reported in 2015.

David Cox, managing director, Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) says: “As we’d expect in December, the UK saw a lull in activity, with people putting off any moves until January. The supply of housing stock was down, and fewer tenants were on the hunt for new properties. It’s reassuring to see the number of agents reporting rent increases is still on the decline – some encouraging news for tenants as we start 2016.”


Buy-to-let market changes

The stamp duty reforms to buy-to-let properties announced in the Autumn Statement are causing concern amongst ARLA letting agents. Two in three (62 per cent) agents predict the changes from April will push up rent costs, and a further two thirds (65 per cent) predict the new reforms will push landlords out of the market after April, and decrease supply.

However, the announcement is having an immediate effect on landlords, as a quarter (24 per cent) of agents have seen uplift in interest from buyers looking to invest in BTL properties before the new changes come into play in April.

David Cox continues: “With supply, demand and the number of agents reporting rent increases all declining in December, this could well be the calm before the buy-to-let storm. Buy-to-let landlords determined to complete purchases before the changes come into force in April are storming the UK housing market, meaning the lull we’d usually see is less significant. But subsequently, after April, we’re very likely to see the number of buy-to-let properties on the market begin to decrease, and this will most certainly have a detrimental effect on renters across the country.”

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Latest Comments

Tony Gimple
Tony Gimple 14 Apr 2017

I'm not at all surprised that so many landlords are still confused about what the tax changes really mean and how it will affect them. In particular, the blind rush to incorporation is leaving landlords...

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MH
MH 13 Apr 2017

You are right that the bank holidays are going to be spoiled in looking for the properties. But people who want to sell their property and looking for the better relocation, they can get benefits of this...

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bnellyb
bnellyb 08 Apr 2017

There will be an exodus of private landlords over the next 5 years as tax changes take effect, private landlords provide an important service to the rental market, why do housing associations and councils...

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Fred Cassman
Fred Cassman 07 Apr 2017

"Make it look like you are at home": often people forget this and share on facebook their location!

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jared townsend
jared townsend 05 Apr 2017

It'll be interesting to see how & if the Government's asset sale regarding mortgages helps

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SecomTech
SecomTech 04 Apr 2017

...and not one mention of the rules on PERMITTED DEVELOPMENT!!! Unless you have studied the plans you will not know...It's probable a high proportion would not need planning permission...BUILDING Control...

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Jonathan
Jonathan 03 Apr 2017

That's a very interesting study indeed. There is no doubt that new services and web apps such as Wonego.com in the UK or Roomster in the US will change the way people look for a flatmate, and that tenants...

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MBM Homelets
MBM Homelets 23 Mar 2017

Although this is a very positive step, there is little or no guarantee of the standard of workmanship employed by the tenants. We have had experience of a professionally decorated property being ' painted'...

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ajay
ajay 21 Mar 2017

How is the "robust evidence" looking now?

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NathanG
NathanG 20 Mar 2017

I've been watching the series so far and am completely baffled by the cases that were presented. Though, I don't think that we can protect ourselves from every scam possible - it will just make the scammers...

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Landlady14
Landlady14 01 Mar 2017

You would think so Niraj Shah! My experience only proves that there are varying qualitiers of professional in all aspects of property letting. None of the ones I have dealt with, from letting agents to...

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Mark
Mark 01 Mar 2017

Thanks for this article. Hopefully one day everybody's lifestyle will be eco-sustainable.

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