Prime London housing market to remain stagnant until 2019

The latest data from estate agents, Savills, has forecast that no price growth will occur in the capital's prime housing market until 2019 due to political uncertainty and post referendum economic doubt.

Related topics:  Property
Warren Lewis
6th January 2017
prime london house home
"Committed sellers increasingly understand the need to factor in both the additional stamp duty and economic uncertainty to their price expectations in order to attract still very cautious buyers"

According to the report, prime London residential values remained suppressed throughout 2016, with prices now 12.5% lower than their December 2014 peak.

Average house prices across all prime London fell by 2.2% in the final three months of 2016. This left values down 4.9% year on year and 5.8% since the stamp duty increases of December 2014 and subsequent announcement of a 3% surcharge on additional homes effective from April 1 2016.

The highest value markets of prime central London continue to be most impacted by the stamp duty effect, with prices down by an average of 6.9% year on year, against a Savills forecast of -9.0% for 2016.

By contrast, in outer prime London, where the average value is just below £2 million, prices fell by 4.0% in 2016 and are down just 2.7% from where they were two years ago.

Lucian Cook, Savills UK head of residential research, had this to say: “Committed sellers increasingly understand the need to factor in both the additional stamp duty and economic uncertainty to their price expectations in order to attract still very cautious buyers.

We saw a real dearth of transactions over the late spring and summer months following the race to beat the new 3% surcharge. But further price adjustments, coupled with the currency play for international buyers, appear to have triggered greater buyer commitment and prime London sales volumes picked up significantly in September, October and November before easing back in December.

Recent market activity demonstrates the continued appeal of prime London property at the right price. But buyer sentiment remains fragile. Improved transaction levels are the result of adjusted pricing and should not be seen as a precursor to price rises in the foreseeable future. High stamp duty rates and the uncertainty created by negotiations to leave Europe will still need to be factored into expectations on value."

More like this
Latest from Financial Reporter
Latest from Protection Reporter
CLOSE
Subscribe
to our newsletter

Join a community of over 20,000 landlords and property specialists and keep up-to-date with industry news and upcoming events via our newsletter.