Could China crisis cause a student flat crash?

Could China crisis cause a student flat crash?

Economic turmoil in China could have huge implications for the explosion in student accommodation in North East cities according to one property expert.

Chinese economic output economy fell by 5.5% in 2015 to its slowest rate of growth since 1991 - causing a 23% slump in the value of its stock market and leading India to overtake it as the world’s fastest growing economy.
 
North East-based property expert Ajay Jagota of sales and lettings firm KIS believes this slowdown may lead to a decline in overseas students coming to the region – with huge implications for newly-constructed student accommodation.

Five student blocks opened in the centre of Newcastle in 2015, with a further six currently under construction. One in seventeen homes in the city centre are now occupied by students with 11,000 new students homes created since 2008.

A planned 445-bed student accommodation in the centre of Durham has recently caused controversy by closing the acclaimed restaurant Oldfields, while further plans to convert the nearby County Hospital site into a 363-bed student development were  rejected by planners.


Ajay Jagota, founder and Managing Director of KIS, said: “Students contribute a huge amount to our local economy, and student flats can actually be very good news for permanent residents, reducing pressure on the housing stock in areas popular with students and young professionals and lowering both house prices and rents.

But there are now tens of thousands of student bedrooms in our city centres which are relying on overseas students for their financial sustainability – and that sustainability could come under huge pressure if there is economic turmoil in the countries those students are coming from.

If the Year of the Monkey is one where the Chinese economy starts to suffer, sending offspring overseas for education is likely to be one of the areas families are going to economise on first. That could mean huge numbers of empty bedrooms and it’s easy to envisage empty buildings following that.

It might even sound glib, but even the end of China’s one child policy could have an impact, with families having less money to spend on individual children.

Assuming the figures are accurate other countries – Britain included – would kill for growth as disappointing as China’s  but in a globalised economy economic shocks on the on the other side of the world can have a huge and unforeseeable impact here, even on something as localised as the housing market”.

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Samantha Goodman
Samantha Goodman 11 Aug 2017

Interesting point of view.

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Samantha Goodman
Samantha Goodman 11 Aug 2017

It depends on the people, some older adults decide to make a long-distance move in order to live closer to their children or settle in a place with a lower cost of living.

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brandonlee10
brandonlee10 24 Jul 2017

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IrisJ.
IrisJ. 19 Jul 2017

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IrisJ.
IrisJ. 17 Jul 2017

The third point is, in my opinion, the most important one. People have become too inconsiderate and careless when it comes to rented properties. If a landlord wants to protect their property, regular visits...

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cornishalan
cornishalan 10 Jul 2017

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Jo Mullett
Jo Mullett 07 Jul 2017

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NathanG
NathanG 05 Jul 2017

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Jonah
Jonah 04 Jul 2017

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Dianne Griffen
Dianne Griffen 29 Jun 2017

Be very wary of anyone bringing you deals that they have ?found? and want to ?sell on to you? or ?joint venture? with you on ? you need a proper legal contract for this, involve a RICs surveyor to confirm...

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jason hadzikostas
jason hadzikostas 28 Jun 2017

The most important thing is a budget. Students have to manage their spendings in food, house maintenance, books and many other things. According to me, student Studios are the perfect option for them as...

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SecomTech
SecomTech 22 Jun 2017

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